2) it made landfall nice and early which will help the weakening.

It made landfall as a Cat 3 and is already down to Cat 2. A few things: 1) it did not explode in strength like most models were showing. If that doesn't materialize, it will be good news for TLH. Models keep showing a NW turn but it has yet to happen. I assume you have seen that a whopping 4 million Floridians are without power - more than a third of the state. Even though the worst case isn't coming doesn't mean this will be a walk in the park. Not much more to add at this time - Irma still packing plenty of punch. If it doesn't fill back in (a big if) precip could end sooner than expected. A 'dry slot' is pushing toward us - you can see it on the radar loop above. Good news - I'm liking the radar trends for Tallahassee. Statewide, the Associated Press reports well over 5 million Floridians have lost power - more than half the state. Remain safe!Ĭertainly plenty of power outages being reported. Feel free to share any damage pictures you have. Tiny shifts in the track would have taken a marginal event and turned it into a major one. It will be interesting to see how windy it is outside of areas of precipitation. It's certainly possible there will be redevelopment as what remains of the center of circulation moves past us to the east, but I'm dubious. Weather wise, I continue to be encouraged by the radar - the back edge of precip is already making its way through Perry. There are no businesses open and you will only get in the way of those who NEED to be out restoring power, cutting down trees, etc. Bottom line - if you don't have to go out - STAY AT HOME.

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